I tackle often in this column because it is probably the
greatest source of pain for most traders I know. K and I are often amazed by
emails we get from subs who tell us that they have blown up even after BKT has
had a huge run of winning trades. The reason clearly is that they over trading
their account. Now this particular article tries to fix the problem by talking
about the need to "visualize you plan", "talk out your trades"
and "keep a running diary". While all those sentiments are noble I am
here to tell you that they are all pure bunk.
Let's face it, as currency traders we are in the markets
because we love to trade. We don't pore over balance sheets looking for
misalignment in cashflow calculations like the credit gnomes in the bond
market. Nor do we spend endless hours researching business plans like stock
investors. FX is the purest speculative market there is driven first and
foremost by sentiment. What is the value of a currency anyway? Some will argue
that the dollar isn't worth the paper its printed on. But we don't care. There
are no bear markets in FX. We are the ultimate "absolute return"
asset class.
We are in the game because we want to PLAY. We want to match
wits with the smartest people in the world and win. Trading is also very much
like violin playing. If you don't practice every day - you lose your touch. But
just as violin players miss a few notes from time to time, so do we miss a few
trades. The key difference of course is that the violin does not crumble into a
thousand little pieces after each bad performance, but our trading account can
be decimated by just one bad trade.
So how do we reconcile our desire to play with our need
remain disciplined and preserve capital? Simple. We separate our money. I have
multiple accounts just for that reason. For example we trade the BKT account
only twice or three times a week and not surprisingly it has the best
performance by far. The reason is of course because we are extremely
disciplined and take only the trades that are consistent with our trading
model. Next, I have an account where trade K's calendar calls both proactively
and reactively. Those of you who have been with me in live chat are familiar
with some of those trades. Finally I have an account that I just trade - no
real rules, lots of experimentation and needless to say a lot of stupid
mistakes.
The BKT account is serious money, the procactive/reactive
account is semi-serious money and the free trade account is just stupid money.
The key to winning in FX is not to curtail the over trading. It is not only
futile but arrogant to think that we can conquer our worst impulses. The key is
not to over trade your serious money. Ironically enough the more freedom you
give yourself to experiment in your stupid account
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